Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 22.500330 26.035436 29.859486 34.292897 39.280203 44.705927 51.043685
2025-02-09 16.469269 21.351891 27.147244 34.480227 43.453409 54.014754 67.318906
2025-02-16 12.762385 18.145142 25.025668 34.345189 46.501304 61.668591 81.851039
2025-02-23 10.190922 15.696395 23.194723 33.947652 48.729146 68.061088 94.928947
2025-03-02 8.383037 13.876558 21.793008 33.726132 50.886442 74.241482 107.901413
2025-03-09 6.999202 12.389852 20.572391 33.476837 52.796031 80.028340 120.538018
2025-03-16 5.510992 10.458779 18.380415 31.457153 51.835238 81.569473 127.185153
2025-03-23 4.936308 9.916192 18.240334 32.490886 55.410171 89.763588 143.733396
2025-03-30 4.531580 9.592803 18.392481 33.960179 59.713404 99.243888 162.657140
2025-04-06 3.834428 8.613101 17.296496 33.228123 60.410716 103.228461 173.480234
2025-04-13 3.134660 7.498815 15.805346 31.632023 59.505245 104.579896 180.233993
2025-04-20 2.957238 7.406126 16.161863 33.299777 64.165634 115.007236 201.700838
2025-04-27 2.892759 7.572483 17.082425 36.178739 71.304968 130.170108 232.034541
2025-05-04 2.568377 7.117806 16.749109 36.724610 74.452556 139.048825 252.887332
2025-05-11 2.230186 6.561907 16.130761 36.647205 76.453859 146.102050 271.110051
2025-05-18 1.915344 5.992257 15.395228 36.238880 77.775600 152.018787 287.682796
2025-05-25 1.659980 5.515328 14.787089 36.006795 79.379649 158.480219 305.466571
2025-06-01 1.439028 5.078297 14.200955 35.743491 80.875328 164.796785 323.272486
2025-06-08 1.144747 4.355466 12.826064 33.606458 78.455594 163.810925 328.111000
2025-06-15 1.059389 4.236661 12.904442 34.700439 82.648113 175.261666 355.711230
2025-06-22 1.002853 4.196228 13.174523 36.254874 87.894947 188.952457 387.967555
2025-06-29 0.853074 3.808759 12.481988 35.480467 88.167845 193.161508 403.000375
2025-07-06 0.692090 3.330895 11.462043 33.791554 86.316863 193.117404 410.074736